Quantifying projected impacts under 2°C warming

IMPACT2C

Project timeline
Start:
October 2011
Duration:
48 months
End:
September 2015
General Information
Political discussions on the European goal to limit global warming to 2°C demands that discussions are informed by the best available science on projected impacts and possible benefits. IMPACT2C enhances knowledge, quantifies climate change impacts, and adopts a clear and logical structure, with climate and impacts modelling, vulnerabilities, risks and economic costs, as well as potential responses, within a pan-European sector based analysis. IMPACT2C utilises a range of models within a multi-disciplinary international expert team and assesses effects on water, energy, infrastructure, coasts, tourism, forestry, agriculture, ecosystems services, and health and air quality-climate interactions. IMPACT2C introduces key innovations. First, harmonised socio-economic assumptions/scenarios will be used, to ensure that both individual and cross-sector assessments are aligned to the 2°C (1.5°C) scenario for both impacts and adaptation, e.g. in relation to land-use pressures between agriculture and forestry. Second, it has a core theme of uncertainty, and will develop a methodological framework integrating the uncertainties within and across the different sectors, in a consistent way. In so doing, analysis of adaptation responses under uncertainty will be enhanced. Finally, a cross-sectoral perspective is adopted to complement the sector analysis. A number of case studies will be developed for particularly vulnerable areas, subject to multiple impacts (e.g. the Mediterranean), with the focus being on cross-sectoral interactions (e.g. land use competition) and cross-cutting themes (e.g. cities). The project also assesses climate change impacts in some of the world’s most vulnerable regions: Bangladesh, Africa (Nile and Niger basins), and the Maldives. IMPACT2C integrates and synthesises project findings suitable for awareness raising and are readily communicable to a wide audience, and relevant for policy negotiations.
EU-Programme Acronym and Subprogramme AreaFP7-ENV.2011.1.1.6-1
Project TypeLarge-scale Integrating Project
Contract NumberGrant Agreement 282746
Co-ordinatorHelmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht (DE)
Total Eligible Costs (€) HZG Eligible Costs (€) EC Funding for HZG (€)
8.447.372845.245730.165
Contact Person at HZG Prof. Daniela Jacob, Climate Service Center, Phone: +49 40 22633 8406, Fax: +49 40 22633 8163
E-mail contact
Worldwide Europe

Participants
African Centre of Meteorological Application for Development (NE), Bangladesh Center for Advanced Studies (BD), CNRS (FR), Danish Meteorological Institute (DK), Ente Per Le Nuove Tecnologie, L'Energia e L'Ambiente (IT), European Climate Forum E.V. (DE), European Commission (BE), Institute of Water Modelling (BD), International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (AT), International Water Management Institute (LK), Joanneum Research (AT), Météo France, Centre de Recherches Météorologiques (FR), Met Office, Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research (UK), Ministry of Housing and Environment (MV), Norwegian Meteorological Office, Oslo (NO), Paul Watkiss Associates Ltd (UK), Potsdam-Institut für Klimafolgenforschung e.V. (DE), SEI Oxford Office Limited (UK), Stichting Wetlands International (NL), Stockholm Environment Institute Ltd, UK (UK), Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute (SE), Technical University of Crete (GR), Uni Research AS (NO), Universität Graz (AT), Université de Lausanne (CH), University of Southampton (UK), Wageningen Universiteit (NL), World Health Organisation, WHO (CH)
IMPACT2C website IMPACT2C web-atlas IMPACT2C publications
Last Update: 15. May 2017