Institute for Coastal Research

System Analysis and Modelling

The objectives of the institute’s “System Analysis and Modelling” division are to develop methods for marine forecasting products and methods,
to reconstruct past environmental conditions, and to construct possible future scenarios in connection with socio-economic analyses.

The systems and their associated changes in the coastal zone are observed, simulated, analysed, and assessed from a physical, ecological and socio-economic perspective. Focus lies in such topics as storms, sea state, sea level, water quality, maritime spatial planning and climate adaptation. Our research work serves to develop and foster an understanding of environmental conditions and to evaluate those conditions with the aim of providing the scientific basis for operational and strategic decision making processes in the realms of government, economy and the public sector.

A central element and product in this work is coastDat, a database for assessing long-term changes.

Our expertise lies in:
  • Analysis of variability and long-term changes in the coastal environment
  • Investigating questions of resilience, vulnerability and adaptability of societal coastal systems
  • Development, application and coupling of regional environmental models, e.g., atmospheric models, sea state and storm surge models, shelf sea, estuary and ecosystem models
  • Statistical analyses of large data sets and data assimilation
  • Empirically based analyses of spatial perception and problems identified by different stakeholders, as well as analysis of planning processes and institutions

Our research contributes to the societal assessment of possible goals, risks and opportunities in the dialogue among stakeholders. The Northern German Climate Office plays an important role in this capacity.