Ecosystem Modelling
Publications
2016 and forthcoming
- Nasermoaddeli, M. H., Lemmen, C., Kösters, F., Stigge, G., Kerimoglu, O., Burchard, H., Klingbeil, K., Hofmeister, R., Wirtz, K. W. Large-scale effect of macrofauna on suspended sediment concentration in a shallow shelf sea (southern North Sea). In review
- W. F. Ruddiman, D. Q. Fuller, J. E. Kutzbach, P. C. Tzedakis, J. O. Kaplan, E. C. Ellis, S. J. Vavrus, C. N. Roberts, R. Fyfe, F. He, C. Lemmen, J. Woodbridge (2016): Late Holocene climate: natural or anthropogenic? Rev. Geophys., doi:10.1002/2015RG000503
- Taherzadeh, N., Kerimoglu, O., Wirtz, K.W.. Can We Predict Phytoplankton Community Size Structure Using Size Scalings of Eco-Physiological traits? In Review
- Wirtz, K.W., Kerimoglu, O., 2016. Autotrophic stoichiometry emerging from optimality and variable co-limitation" Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution. doi:10.3389/fevo.2016.00131
- Onur Kerimoglu, Stéphan Jacquet, Brigitte Vinçon-Leite, Bruno J. Lemaire, Frédéric Rimet, Frédéric Soulignac, Dominique Trévisan, Orlane Anneville (2017): Modelling the plankton groups of the deep, peri-alpine Lake Bourget. Ecological Modelling, Volume 359, 10 September 2017, Pages 415–433, doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2017.06.005
- Kerimoglu, O., Hofmeister, R., Maerz, J., Wirtz, K.W. A novel acclimative biogeochemical model and its implementation to the southern North Sea. Biogeosciences Discussions, in review, 2017. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-2017-104
- Kerimoglu, O., Jacquet, S., Vinçon-Leite, B., Lemaire, B.J., Rimet, F.,Soulignac, F., Trévisan, D., Anneville, O. Modelling seasonal and inter-annual variation of plankton groups in Lake Bourget. Accepted for publication by Ecological Modelling
- Hofmeister, R., Flöser, G. und Schartau, M. (2016) Estuary-type circulation as a factor sustaining horizontal nutrient gradients in freshwater-influenced coastal systems Geo-Marine Letters. doi:10.1007/s00367-016-0469-z.
- Maerz, J., Hofmeister, R., van der Lee, E.M., Gräwe, U., Riethmüller, R., Wirtz, K.W., 2016. Maximum sinking velocities of suspended particulate matter in a coastal transition zone. Biogeosciences 13, 4863–4876. doi:10.5194/bg-13-4863-2016
- Lemmen, C., Hofmeister, R., Klingbeil, K., Nasermoaddeli, M. H., Kerimoglu, O., Burchard, H., Kösters, F., and Wirtz, K. W.: Modular System for Shelves and Coasts (MOSSCO v1.0) – a flexible and multi-component framework for coupled coastal ocean ecosystem modelling, Geosci. Model Dev. Discussions, in review, 2017. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-2017-138
- W. F. Ruddiman, D. Q. Fuller, J. E. Kutzbach, P. C. Tzedakis, J. O. Kaplan, E. C. Ellis, S. J. Vavrus, C. N. Roberts, R. Fyfe, F. He, C. Lemmen, J. Woodbridge (2016): Late Holocene climate: natural or anthropogenic? Rev. Geophys., https://doi.org/10.1002/2015RG000503
- C. Lemmen and D. Gronenborn: The Diffusion of Humans and Cultures in the Course of the Spread of Farming. Chapter 19 in: Diffusive Spreading in Nature, Technology and Society. A. Bunde, J. Caro, J. Kärger, G. Vogl (Eds.). Springer Fundamentals, accepted Feb 2017
- Mandal, S., Homma, H., Priyadarshi, A., Burchard, H., Smith, S.L., Wirtz, K.W., Yamazaki, H. (2016): A 1D physical–biological model of the impact of highly intermittent phytoplankton distributions. J Plankton Res 2016; 38 (4): 964-976.
- Moreno de Castro, M., Schartau, M. and Wirtz, K.W. (2016): Potential sources of variability in ocean acidification mesocosm experiments. Biogeosciences
- Vannière, B., Blarquez, O., Rius, D., Doyen, E., Brücher, T., Colombaroli D., Connor S., Feurdean A., Hickler T., Lemmen C., Leys B., Massa C., Olofsson J. (2016): 7000-year human legacy of elevation-dependent European fire regimes. Quat. Science Rev. 132, 206–212, doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.11.012
- Baschek, B., Schroeder, F., Brix, H., Riethmüller, R., Badewien, T. H., Breitbach, G., Brügge, B., Colijn, F., Doer er, R., Eschenbach, C., Friedrich, J., Fischer, P., Garthe, S., Horstmann, J., Krasemann, H., Metfies, K., Ohle, N., Petersen, W., Pröfrock, D., Röttgers, R., Schlüter, M., Schulz, J., Schulz-Stellenfleth, J., Stanev, E., Winter, C., Wirtz, K., Wollschläger, J., Zielinski, O., and Ziemer, F. (2016): The Coastal Observing System for Northern and Arctic Seas (COSYNA), Ocean Sci. Discuss., doi:10.5194/os-2016-31.
- Gronenborn, D., Strien, H.C., Lemmen, C.: Population Dynamics, Social Resilience Strategies, and Adaptive Cycles in Early Farming Societies of SW Central Europe, Quaternary International, in press Mar 2017, doi:10.1016/j.quaint.2017.01.018
- Bengfort, M., van Velzen, E., Gaedke, U. (2017) Slight phenotypic variation in predators and prey causes complex predator-prey oscillations. Ecological Complexity 31, 115-124, doi:10.1016/j.ecocom.2017.06.003
- Kerimoglu, O., Eisele, A., Grage, A., Große, F., Kreus, M., Lenhart, H.J., Leujak, W., van Beusekom, J., Wirtz, K., (2017). Numerical modelling of the response of coastal zones to changes in nutrient loadings: scenario analysis. Technical Report. Helmholtz-Zentrum Geesthacht. Geesthacht
2014 - 2015
- C. Lemmen (2015): Gradient adaptive dynamics describes innovation and resilience at the society scale. Chap- ter 22, 405–415, in: “Mathematics in Archaeology”, edited by J.A. Barcelo, Taylor & Francis, doi:10.1201/b18530-26
- Straile, D., Kerimoglu, O., Peeters, F. (2015) Trophic mismatch requires seasonal heterogeneity of warming. Ecology 96: 2794-2805. https://doi.org/10.1890/14-0839.1
- C. Lemmen (2015): Cultural and Demic Diffusion of First Farmers, Herders, and their Innovations Across Eurasia. Documenta Praehistorica 42, 93–102, doi:10.4312/dp.42.5
- Su, J., Tian, T., Krasemann, H., Schartau, M. und Wirtz, K. (2015) Response patterns of phytoplankton growth to variations in resuspension in the German Bight revealed by daily MERIS data in 2003 and 2004 Oceanologia, 57 (4). pp. 328-341. DOI 10.1016/j.oceano.2015.06.001.
- Anneville, O, Domaizon, I., Kerimoglu, O., Rimet, F. and Jacquet, S. (2015) Blue-green algae in a “greenhouse century”? New insights from field data on climate change impacts on cyanobacteria abundance. Ecosystems 18: 441-458 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10021-014-9837-6
- Janssen, Annette B.G., C. Lemmen et al. (2015): Exploring, exploiting and evolving diversity of aquatic ecosystem models: a community perspective, Aquatic Ecology 49 (4), 513–548, doi:10.1007/s10452-015- 9544-1
- C. Lemmen, K. Haberkorn, R. Blender, K. Fraedrich, and K. W. Wirtz (2015): Global Land Use and technological Evolution Simulations to Quantify Interactions between Climate and Pre-industrial Cultures, in: Integrated Analysis of Interglacial Climate Dynamics, edited by M. Schulz and A. Paul., 103–108, Springer
- Lemmen, C. (2014): Boserup and Malthus at work in a global model of the transitions to agriculture. In: Ester Boserup’s Legacy on Sustainability: Orientations for Contemporary Research, Chapter 6, edited by M. Fischer-Kowalski, Springer, Vienna, Austria. doi:10.1007/978-94-017-8678-2_6
- Wirtz, K. W. (2014) A biomechanical and optimality-based derivation of prey-size dependencies in planktonic prey selection and ingestion rates. Marine Ecology Progress Series 507, 81-94. doi:10.3354/meps10894
- Lemmen, C. and K. W. Wirtz (2014): On the sensitivity of the simulated Neolithic transition in Europe to climate extremes. J. Archeol. Sci. 51, 65-72. doi:10.1016/j.jas.2012.10.023
- Kerimoglu, O., Straile, D., Peeters, F. (2014) Modeling the spring blooms of ciliates in a deep lake. Hydrobiologia 255, 231–246 https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-013-1551-4
- R. Hofmeister, C. Lemmen, O. Kerimoglu & K. Wirtz, M.H. Nasermoaddeli (2014) The Predominant Processes Controlling Vertical Nutrient and Suspended Matter Fluxes across Domains - Using the New MOSSCOSystem from Coastal Sea Sediments up to the Atmosphere. In: Proc. Int. Conference on Hydroengineering, ed. Lehfeldt & Kopmann, Bundesanstalt für Wasserbau, Hamburg, pp 890-896
- von Storch, H., Emeis K, Meinke, I., Kannen, A., Matthias, V., Ratter, B., Stanev, E., Weisse, R., Wirtz, K.W., Making coastal research useful – Cases from practice, Oceanologia. doi:10.1016/j.oceano.2014.09.001
- Liu , F., Su, J., Moll, A., Krasemann, H., Chen, X., Wirtz, K.W (2014) Assessment of the summer-autumn bloom using satellite images to identify the role of wind mixing and light conditions in the Bohai Sea. Journal of Marine Systems 129, 303-317. doi:10.1016/j.jmarsys.2013.07.007
- Smith, S. L., Merico, A., Wirtz, K.W. & Pahlow, M. (2014) Leaving misleading legacies behind in plankton ecosystem modelling. Journal of Plankton Research. doi:10.1093/plankt/fbu011
- Jacquet, S., Kerimoglu, O., Rimet, F., Paolini, G., Anneville, O. (2014) Cyanobacterial bloom termination: the story of the disappearance of Planktothrix rubescens from a large restored deep peri-alpine lake (Lake Bourget, France). Freshwater Biology 59: 2472–2487 https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.12444
- M. H. Nasermoaddeli, F. Kösters, C. Lemmen, K.W. Wirtz (2014): First Results of Modelling Benthos Influence on Sediment Entrainment Using a Generic Approach within the MOSSCO Framework, In: Proc. Int. Conference on Hydroengineering, ed. Lehfeldt & Kopmann, Bundesanstalt für Wasserbau, Hamburg
2012 - 2013
- Wirtz, K. W. (2013) Mechanistic origins of variability in phytoplankton dynamics.. Part I: Niche formation revealed by a size-based model. Marine Biology 160 (9), 2319-2335. doi:10.1007/s
- Wirtz, K. W. & Sommer, U. (2013) Mechanistic origins of variability in phytoplankton dynamics. Part II: Analysis of mesocosm blooms under climate change scenarios. Marine Biology 160 (9) 2503-2516. doi:10.1007/s00227-013-2271-z
- Lemmen, C. (2013), Different mechanisms shaped the transition to farming in Europe and the North American Woodland. Archaeol. Ethnogr. Anthropol. Eurasia 41 (3), also published in Russian language in volume 35 (3), pp 48–58. doi:10.1016/j.aeae.2014.03.007
- Kerimoglu[/b], O., Straile, D., Peeters, F. (2012) Role of phytoplankton cell size on the competition for nutrients and light in incompletely mixed systems. J. Theoretical Biology 300, 330-343. doi:10.1016/j.jtbi.2012.01.044
- Wirtz, K.W. (2012) Intermittency in food particle processing rules grazing kinetics. Oecologia 169 (4) 879-894.
- Frommel, A. Y., R. Maneja, D. Lowe, A. M. Malzahn et al. (2012) Severe tissue damage in Atlantic cod larvae under increasing ocean acidification Nature Climate Change 2, 42–46. doi:10.1038/nclimate1324
- Lemmen, C., and A. Khan (2012): A simulation of the Neolithic transition in the Indus Valley, In: Climates, Landscapes, and Civilizations, edited by L. Giosan et al., Geophys. Monogr. Ser. 198, 107–114, AGU, Washington. doi:10.1029/2012GM001217
- Kröncke, I., Boersma, M., Czeck, R., Dippner, J.W., Ehrich, S., Exo, M.K., Hüppop, O., Malzahn, A., Marencic, H., Markert, A., Millat, G., Neumann, H., Reiss, H., Sell, A., Sobottka, M., Wehrmann, A., Wiltshire, K.H., Wirtz, K.W. (2012). Auswirkungen auf marine Lebensräume. In: Mosbrugger, V., Brasseur, G.P., Schaller , M., Stribrny, B. (Hrsg.), Klimawandel und Biodiversität - Folgen für Deutschland. Wissenschaftliche Buchgesellschaft, Darmstadt: 106-127.
- Wirtz, K. W. (2012) Who is eating whom? Morphology and feeding type determine the size relation between predators and their ideal prey. Marine Ecology Progr. Ser. 445, 1-12. doi:10.3354/meps09502
- Wirtz, K.W. (2012) How fast can plankton feed? Maximum ingestion rate of planktonic feeders scales with digestive surface area, J. Plankton Res. doi:10.1093/plankt/fbs075
2010 - 2011
- Hamer, H. H., Malzahn, A. M., Boersma, M. (2011). The invasive ctenophore Mnemiopsis leidyi: a threat to fish recruitment in the North Sea?, J. Plankton Research, 33, 137-144. doi:10.1093/plankt/fbq100
- Hofmeister, R., J. M. Beckers, H. Burchard (2011) Realistic modelling of the exceptional inflows into the central Baltic Sea in 2003 using terrain-following coordinates. Ocean Modelling 39, 233-247, doi:10.1016/j.ocemod.2011.04.007
- Tian, T., Su, J., Wiltshire K., Flöser G. & Wirtz, K.W. (2011) Physical control of winter-spring algal community structure in the German Bight and its effect on bloom timing. Continental Shelf Research 31, 1140-1148.
- Smith, S.L., Pahlow, M., Merico, A. and Wirtz, K.W. (2011) Optimality as a unifying concept for planktonic organisms and their ecology. Limnol. Oceanogr. 56, 2080-2094
- Lemmen, C., D. Gronenborn and K.W. Wirtz (2011): A simulation of the Neolithic transition in Western Eurasia. J. Archaeol. Sci. 38, 3459–3470. doi:10.1016/j.jas.2011.08.008
- Maerz, J. & Verney, R., Wirtz, K.W. & U. Feudel (2011) Modeling flocculation processes: intercomparison of a size class-based model and a distribution-based model. Continental Shelf Res. 31, S84-S93.
- Wirtz K.W. & Schroeder, F (2011) The integrated coastal observation and model system COSYNA. Proc. 5th International Conference on Applied Coastal Research, SCACR, Aachen.
- Tirok, K, B. Bauer, K. Wirtz & U. Gaedke (2011) Community dynamics driven by feedbacks between functionally diverse trophic levels. PLoS One 6, e27357. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0027357
- Kaplan, J.O., K.M. Krumhardt, E.C. Ellis, W.F. Ruddiman, C. Lemmen and K. Klein-Goldewijk (2011): Holocene carbon emissions as a result of anthropogenic land cover change, Holocene 21 (5), 775–791, doi:10.1177/0959683610386983
- Wirtz, K.W. (2011) Metabolic scaling in phytoplankton due to intracellular light and CO2 decline. Journal of Plankton Research 33, 1325-1341.
- Schlüter, M. H., A. Merico, M. Reginatto, M. Boersma, K. H. Wiltshire & W. Greve (2010), Phenological shifts of three interacting zooplankton groups in relation to climate change, Global Change Biology, 16(11), 3144–3153
- Schartau, M., M. R. Landry and R. A. Armstrong (2010) Density estimation of plankton size spectra: a reanalysis of Iron Ex II data, J. Plankton Res. 32 (8), 1167-1184. doi:10.1093/plankt/fbq072
- Liu, X. & Wirtz, K.W. (2010) Managing coastal area resources by stated choice experiments. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 86, 512-517.
- Holstein, J. & Wirtz, K.W. (2010) On the origin of highly active biogeochemistry in deeper coastal sediments - inverse model studies. Biogeosci. 7, 3741-3753, 2010.
- Brandt, G. & Wirtz, K.W. (2010) Interannual variability of alongshore spring bloom dynamics in a coastal sea caused by the differential influence of hydrodynamics and light climate. Biogeosci. 7, 371-386
- Lemmen, C. and K. W. Wirtz (2010): Socio-technological revolutions and migration waves re-examining early world history with a mathematical model. In: The Spread of the Neolithic to Central Europe, D. Gronenborn and J. Petrasch (Ed.), RGZM Tagungen, 2010
- Gaillard, M.-J., S. Sugita, F. Mazier, A.-K. Trondman, A. Broström, T. Hickler, J.O. Kaplan, E. Kjellström, U. Kokfelt, P. Kuneš, C.Lemmen, P. Miller J. Olofsson, A. Poska, M. Rundgren, B. Smith, G. Strandberg, R. Fyfe, A.B. Nielsen, T. Alenius, L. Balakauskas, L. Barnekow, H.J.B. Birks, A. Bjune, L. Björkman, T. Giesecke, K. Hjelle, L. Kalnina, M. Kangur, W.O. van der Knaap, T. Koff, P. Lagerås, M. Latlałowa, M. Leydet, J. Lechterbeck, M. Lindbladh, B. Odgaard, S. Peglar, U. Segerström, H. Stedingk and H. Seppä (2010): Holocene land-cover reconstructions for studies on land cover-climate feedbacks. Clim. Past 6 (4), 483–499. doi:10.5194/cp-6-483-2010
- Wirtz,K., K. Bernhardt, G .Lohmann and C. Lemmen(2010): Mid-Holoceneregional reorganization of climate variability: Analyses of proxy data in the frequency domain. Palaeogeogr. Palaeoclimatol. Palaeoecol. 298 (3–4), 189–200. doi:10.1016/j.palaeo.2010.09.019
- Malzahn, A.M., Hantzsche, F., Schoo, K.L., Boersma, M., Aberle, N. (2010). Differential effects of nutrient- limited primary production on primary, secondary or tertiary consumers, Oecologia 162 (1), 35-48.
- Holstein, J. M. and Hensen, C. (2010): Microbial mediation of benthic biogenic silica dissolution, Geo-Marine Letters 30 (5), pp. 477-492 .
- Wirtz, K.W. & Pahlow M. (2010) Dynamic CHL and nitrogen-carbon regulation in algae optimizes instantaneous growth rate. Marine Ecology Progr. Ser. 402, 81-96
- Dittami, S. M. ., Wichard, T., Malzahn, A. M., Pohnert, G., Boersma, M., Wiltshire, K. H. (2010). Culture conditions affect fatty acid content along with production of polyunsaturated aldehydes in Thalassiosira rotula (Bacillarophyceae), Nova Hedwigia. Beiheft 136, 231-248.
- Schoo, K. L., Aberle, N., Malzahn, A. M., Boersma, M. (2010). Does the nutrient stoichiometry of primary producers affect the secondary consumer Pleurobrachia pileus?, Aquatic Ecology 44 (1), 233-242. doi:10.1007/s10452-009-9265-4
- Lemmen, C. (2010): World distribution of land cover changes during Pre- and Protohistoric Times and estimation of induced carbon releases. Géomorphologie : relief, processus, environnement, 2009 (4), 303-312. doi:10.4000/geomorphologie.7756
2008 - 2009
- Tian, T., Merico, A., Su, J., Staneva, J & Wirtz, K.W. (2009) Importance of resuspended sediment dynamics for the phytoplankton spring bloom in a coastal marine ecosystem. Journal of Sea Research 62, 214-228.
- Beck M, Köster J, Engelen B, Holstein J, Gittel A, Könneke, Riedel L, Wirtz KW, Cypionka H, Rullkötter J & Brumsack HJ. (2009) Deep pore water profiles reflect enhanced microbial activity towards tidal flat margins. Ocean Dynamics 59, 371-383.
- Liu, X. & Wirtz, K.W. (2009) The economy of oil spills: Direct and indirect costs as a function of spill size. Journal of Hazardous Materials 171, 471-477.
- Holstein, J.M. & Wirtz, K.W. (2009) Sensitivity analysis of nitrogen and carbon cycling in marine sediments. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 82, 632-644.
- Liu, X. & Wirtz, K.W., Kannen, A. & Kraft, D. (2009) Willingness to Pay among Households to Prevent Coastal Resources from Polluting by Oil Spills: A Pilot Survey. Marine Pollution Bulletin 58, 1514-1521.
- Maerz, J. & Wirtz, K.W. (2009) Resolving physically and biologically driven suspended matter dynamics in tidal flats with a distribution-based model. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 84, 128-138.
- Brandt, G., Wehrmann, A. & Wirtz, K.W. (2008) Rapid invasion of Crassostrea gigas into the German Wadden Sea dominated by larval supply. J. Sea Research 59, 279-296.
- Engel, A., K. Schulz, U. Riebesell, R. Bellerby, B. Bellerby, B. Delille, and M. Schartau (2008), Effects of CO2 on particle size distribution and phytoplankton abundance during a mesocosm bloom experiment (PeECE II), Biogeosciences.
- Merico, A.; Tyrell, T.; Wilson, P.A.: Eocene/Oligocene ocean de-acidification linked to Antarctic glaciation by sea-level fall. Nature 452 (2008) 7190, 979 - 982. doi:10.1038/nature06853
- Wiltshire, K.H., Boersma, M., Greve, W., Janisch, S., Mangelsdorf, P., Manly, B.F.J., Malzahn, A.M. & Wirtz, K. W. (2008) Resilience of North Sea phytoplankton spring bloom dynamics: An analysis of long-term data at Helgoland Roads. Limnology & Oceanography 53, 1294–1302.
- Schlüter, Merja H.; Merico, Agostino; Wiltshire, Karen H.; Greve, Wulf; von Storch, Hans (2008) A statistical analysis of climate variability and ecosystem response in the German Bight, Ocean Dynamics 58, Issue 3-4, pp. 169-186
- Brandt, G., Wehrmann, A. and Wirtz, K.W. 2008. Rapid invasion of Crassostrea gigas into the German Wadden Sea dominated by larval supply. Journal of Sea Research 59: 279-296.